This post is full of sci fi awesomeness - proceed with excitement.
One of the reasons I started to write was because of my love for science fiction - particularly of the space opera variety. If anyone remember the mid to late 1990s, you'll remember that their wasn't much going on, with the exception of Contact, but even then, it kind of went over a lot of heads. I was in high school during those years. The only places where I could find my sci-fi fix were inside of books or computer games, and that's when I thought, "you know, I could do this!" If I couldn't find a story that spoke to me, I'd make one.
And now, about ten years later, something of an anomaly has occurred - theaters everywhere are about to erupt with a plethora of science fiction films - and they look mighty cool. See what I mean?
And this is all before the summer is over, mind you.
Thing is, in early Novemeber, the Ender's Game film is also releasing. When word first sprang that the one science fiction novel I've been waiting forever to see made into a movie, I didn't know about these other ones, and now a small part of me worries that, but the time Ender's Game is released, audiences will be all "oh, another science fiction movie?" and some have already started calling it a Hunger Games knock off (given that Ender's Game is almost 30 years old).
Well, they called LotRs a Harry Potter knock-off too, so ...
What this can do is lessen the success of the film - it's old now. I know I'll be there, first in line, come opening night, so I hope not.
As far as the book world goes, it's been said that the hot trend will be fairytale retellings and whole new original fantasies with fairytale elements in 2013. I believe it. My CP wrote an amazing dystopia/ fairytale novel and it will come out in the middle of that wave. If we publish Woven this year (self or otherwise), it too will be part of the rush. It's not something we planned on - it's something the market jumped on while we weren't looking. Is this good or bad for us?
Even my zombie WiP, when I met with J. Scott Savage last summer, I told him about my idea and he seemed excited, but he also warned that "the market for zombie stories is over-saturated" at the moment (and btw, his Zombie Kid novel just released - just so you know).
Markets fluctuate and what audiences find interesting changes, but the question is, what do you do when your market is overrun with something similar to your story? We know what happened when Twilight made the scene - agents started saying "no more vampires" in their bios, and I can't begin to tell you how many 50 Shades copycats have flooded the market since those books hit #1.
This is not the rule, just my thoughts on the matter. The answer may rely on where your story is at now - is it before the wave or after? Or will the story serve you best after the waters have receded? Or does it not matter at all and you just want the story out there? If we find ourselves in the middle of such a wave, the one thing that can make a difference is finding a way to stand out - wear a body suit or use a surf board that no one else has. Bringing a unique element into an over-saturated market may very well be our story's saving grace.
Do you worry that your story might get caught in an over-saturated market? Or does this liven your hopes that people will find it? To those who are published, have you published your story in an over-saturated market? How did things turn out for you?
I'm David, but you already knew that. ;)